Posts Tagged ‘U.S. Housing Market’
Posted by Sibet B Freides in Real Estate Economics, Real Estate Trends on January 12th, 2010
My friend and seasoned real estate journalist Pat Curry has written a great blog over at Cyberhomes.com.
She asks the question, “Are homes good investments”? As stated by Curry, homes have no doubt been a solid investment in the past, but due to economic turmoil and a slumping housing market, everyone is questioning the strength of its return power.
As a whole, I do not think homes will be seen as investments in the future. Our parents bought houses as a “home” where they would raise a family and live for a long time. The result was they bought a house, stayed a long time and therefore made a profit when they sold it.
In the past 10 years people have been buying homes as an investment thinking they were going to make 400% profit. It was not so much about the “home” but the profit. I think real estate will come back as a way to make money, but I don’t’ know if the Gen x and y buyer will jump on that bandwagon. They are skeptical of the establishment and they seem to be buying more for what they love and not just what they will make on it.
There is a great article by Market Watch that talks about added home value with walk able communities. This proves my point in a way. People are beginning to value homes that are conducive to their lifestyles. In this case, being able to walk to school, shopping, and amenities.
When the housing market does return, I think we will better see this attitude change. The foreclosure rates paint a great picture of how many people lost their investments. I truly believe that average homebuyer will shift their mindset away from investing and more towards finding a true home. America has learned a hard lesson in real estate investing these past few years. The future will reflect that.
Posted by Sibet B Freides in Real Estate Economics, Real Estate Trends on October 26th, 2009
As it stands, a majority of activity seen in the first time housing market over the last few months can be credited to the $8,000 home buyer tax credit.
I recently read an article over at Seekingalpha.com about how the ending of the first time home buyer tax credit will effect not only sales numbers, but housing starts as well. The chart below shows housing start rates over the last year.
Taken from Seekingalpha.com
In regards to recent housing reports, the activity in building is slowing down. As the deadline for the tax credit draws nearer, we are already seeing a drop in home purchases, which means a drop in housing starts.
Slow Downs Are Coming Earlier Then Expected
We all knew that the end of the tax credit would bring a slow down, but many failed to foresee such an early drop. It takes a month or two to close on a new home, which is discouraging to buyers trying to enter the market at this point in time. It will be very hard to close on a home at this point in order to qualify for the tax credit.
Foreclosure Rates are Picking up Steam
The most disheartening part of all of this lies in foreclosure rates. Homes are still foreclosing at alarming rates. Many economists believe that foreclosure rates will hit new records throughout 2010. Here is an excerpt from the Seekingalpha.com article. Included is a chart of foreclosure filings.
But unfortunately it’s not as simple as just the sales side, as unless inventory is kept under control there will continue to be downward pressure on prices. As it stands, even with the tax credit sales are barely outrunning additional supply. In fact, the last reading on inventories from August showed that August inventory of existing homes is essentially flat with January. The reason is people are still foreclosing on their homes at alarming rates, and the onset of a recession and job losses has only made it worse.
Chart Taken from Seekingalpha.com
I continue to read conflicting stories about the effectiveness of the tax credit. Many economists believe that it is destroying the economy further, but I am still a believer. Here is why….
Why I Believe In The Tax Credit
Over the past few months, we have seen inventory moving that I don’t believe would have without the tax credit. In fact, we are seeing homes sell in some of the more volatile markets right now. The Cosmopolitan Condos here in Atlanta are sitting at a 95% occupancy rate. I believe their success can be contributed to a combination of the housing tax credit and price reductions. They have sold 105 homes over a three-month span.
I am seeing the tax credit work here in Atlanta. It is hard for me to believe otherwise when I see numbers like these.
Regardless of how you feel about the tax credit, the above should provide you with some good facts to base your decisions on. If you are a believer, I suggest you write your congressman and NAHB to get them to encourage Congress to continue the program.
How do you feel about a possible extension of the tax credit?
Tell us how you feel. Do you think it would be a good or bad thing? Leave a comment below.
Posted by Sibet B Freides in Real Estate Trends on June 5th, 2009

- Image by Getty Images via Daylife
The housing market has experienced a progressive positive upswing for the past 60 days. According to Tuesday’s digital edition of The Atlanta Business Chronicle, lower prices and attractive mortgage rates are breathing new life into housing, with one measure of sales posting its fourth increase in the last five months. Pending sales of existing homes, or contracts signed but not closed, rose 6.7 percent in April, according to the National Association of Realtors.
April’s pending sales were up 3.2 percent from a year ago, the NAR says. The biggest increase in April was in the Northeast, where pending sales jumped 32.6 percent from the previous month.
The California market has seen home prices tick upwards which is a great sign for the region. As we know, every trend starts on the West coast and then heads our way. Belinda Sward, with Strategic Solutions Alliance, is working in markets all over the country and reports that many markets have bottomed out.
Any positive signs in the media will help the housing market. I am happy to see good news being published. The $8,000 tax credit has also done a great deal to help generate sales and our clients have seen a lot of positive impact. This news is the shot in the arm that our industry needs. Several months of increase indicates a trend, not a blip!
Article by Sibet Burch Freides
President, Idea Associates
Founding Member, The Market Solutions Group

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